IV

 

THE EVIDENCES OF THE PROBABILISTIC MODEL

 

 

French version

 

 

As a whole, the secondary era was a 180 M.Y. relative orogenetic and volcanic long period of calmness. An environmental and a calcareous sedimentation prevail during most of Mesozoic and particularly at the Cretaceous (as its name indicates it). With the late Cretaceous, one witnesses an orogenetic activity and the apparition of volcanicity (Dekkhan Trapps in the Indies - the Columbia River and the Snake River in the U.S.A.).

In Mesozoic many phyla and animal groups thrive, whether Vertebrates or Invertebrates, with an internal or external significant skeleton (vertebrae, rostres, tests, shells, etc...) which consisted of various compounds of calcium, calcite, aragonite, phosphates, carbonates, sulphates, etc...: marine or terrestrial Reptiles, Rudists, Ammonites, Foraminifera, Coccolithophoridae, Bivalves, Corals, etc...

The mass extinction in Maestrichtian, at the K/T limit, relates to 50 % of the kinds (38 % of the marine kinds), that is to say 65 to 70.% of the species (90 % of the planktonic species, 100 % of the marine Reptiles, Ammonites, Rudists species, etc...). 100 families are extinct.

A fine analysis of the genus percentages existing at the finish-Cretaceous which survive the K/T limit (according to Emiliani, Kraus and Shoemaker statistics 1981) makes it possible to correlate the food chain and the biomineralization processes disturbance and the organisms with more or less significant calcic metabolism. disappearance or attack.

Survivors % after limit K/T:

On 29 listed Groups:

4 whose calcic metabolism misses or minor are not or relatively not very affected: Radiolaria with siliceous skeleton - 93; Dinoflagellates with cellulose theca - 78; Elasmobranchii with cartilage skeleton - 67; Diatoms with siliceous hull - 31.

19 whose calcic metabolism is significant disappear completely or are very affected: 1) Coccolithophoridae - 13; 2) Planktonic Foraminifera - 13; 3) Ammonoids - 0; 4) Belemnoids - 0; 5) Osteichthya - 4; 6) Ichthyosauria - 0; 7) Plesiososauria - 0; 8) Corals - 20; 9) Orbitoids Foraminifera -0; 10) Hippuritids - 0; 11) Cheloniaa - 23; 12) Sauropterygia - 0; 13) Lacertilia - 27; 14) Snakes - 0; 15) Crocodilia - 12; 16) Saurischia - 0; 17) Ornitischia - 0; 18) Pterosauria - 0; 19) Birds - 0.

3 are more or less affected: Nautiloids - 50; Pelecypods - 43; Oysters - 32.

3 are saved: Amphibia - 100; Mammals - 52; Benthic Foraminifera - 75/85.

In short, on 29 groups, 26 (4 + 19 + 3) that is 90 % of the groups testify to a correlation (by their persistence, their disappearance or their small percentage of survivors) between their endoskeleton or their exoskeleton nature and importance and the trophic chain disturbance and the calcium biomineralization processes to the finish-Cretaceous.

The examination of the surfaces and the periods when the Dinosaurs and the terrestrial Reptiles appeared , indicates that there is a correlation, in space and in time, between the apparition of the fossils of Dinosaurs and a preliminary or concomitant marine transgression which makes it possible to found the calcium probabilist trophic chain. The 70 Dinosaurs world fossiliferous sites knew a marine transgression concomitant or former of Trias, Jurassic or Cretaceous. A contrario, no fossiliferous site of Dinosaurs is listed without any concomitant or former marine transgression.

One notes the existence, at the K/T limit, of five factors (out of 7) probabilistic disturbers of the calcium biomineralization:

1) glaciations and temperatures fresh or cold

2) a higher CO2 level

3) an orogenetic and volcanic intense activity

4) an increase in the pH acidity

5) a food chains rupture (nannoplancton - coccolithophoridae - and microplancton extinction - Foraminifera; Angiospermae disappearance).  

Other arguments consolidate the mass extinction probabilistic model at the K/T limit, at the other models expense (meteorites impact, marine regressions, viral epidemics, etc...): former phyla acmes and radiations; mass extinction selectivity, distant animal groups acmes then simultaneous disappearances, stratigraphic arguments, duration of mass extinction, etc...

 

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